Research firm Global InfoAnalytics has projected a decisive victory for the National Democratic Congress (NDC) presidential candidate, John Dramani Mahama, with 52.2% of the vote in the upcoming December 7 general elections.
According to the latest poll, barely eight days before the election, the New Patriotic Party (NPP) candidate and Vice President, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, is expected to secure 41.4%. Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen is projected to receive 2.5%, Nana Kwame Bediako 3.0%, and other candidates 0.9%.
The poll has a margin of error of ±1.8%, with voter turnout anticipated at 77.6%.
In regional projections, Mr. Mahama is expected to dominate in 10 regions, including Greater Accra, Central, Volta, and Northern regions, while Dr. Bawumia is predicted to win in Ashanti, Eastern, Ahafo, and North East regions.
The NDC is also forecasted to claim a majority in parliamentary elections, winning an estimated 150 seats. The NPP is expected to secure 99 seats, with one seat going to an independent candidate. However, 29 constituencies remain too close to call, highlighting the competitive nature of some areas.
This prediction points to a significant shift in parliamentary representation, with the NDC potentially consolidating gains in its strongholds while making inroads into NPP-dominated regions.
The report emphasized key voter concerns shaping the election, including economic issues, job creation, and public service delivery. It also underscored the importance of regional strongholds in determining the overall outcome.
Global InfoAnalytics offered a range of scenarios, with Mr. Mahama’s support potentially varying from 50.4% to 54.1%, depending on final voter turnout and the decisions of undecided voters.
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